Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x450ab35ef7e2a624ee0522afeefe42ebaf291a67ad38d40919218c6331a992b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 45,619$28,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,563.44 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed M80 | 38c | 34,593$13,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,412.47 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 71c | 9,320$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.12 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed M80 | 35c | 4,115$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.45 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed M80 | 35c | 4,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.64 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked M80 | 35c | 2,478$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.71 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 1,413$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.58 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 1,315$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.36 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 1,300$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed M80 | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed M80 | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 999.98$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…ea43backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 828.64$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked M80 | 35c | 781.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.06 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 698.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.03 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked M80 | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed M80 | 42c | 466.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked M80 | 45c | 432$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 419.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 33c | 383.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 353.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…97d1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 336.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 17c | 327.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked M80 | 33c | 308.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 307$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed M80 | 39c | 301.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed M80 | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 4c | 270.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked M80 | 52c | 267.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed M80 | 36c | 254.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 23c | 231.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 223.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 205$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 200.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked M80 | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed M80 | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 185.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked M80 | 35c | 168$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 166.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 155.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed M80 | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 141.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…027abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 123.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…2d10backed M80 | 35c | 116.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed M80 | 34c | 114$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed M80 | 34c | 113.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked M80 | 50c | 106.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed M80 | 35c | 103$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 84.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed M80 | 35c | 83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed M80 | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…af56backed M80 | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…67cbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 66.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed M80 | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed M80 | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 58.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed M80 | 33c | 57.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed M80 | 52c | 57.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed M80 | 53c | 54.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked M80 | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 47.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed M80 | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 65c | 42.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed M80 | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed M80 | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed M80 | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed M80 | 63c | 38.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed M80 | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed M80 | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6df…52d6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed M80 | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked M80 | 68c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.