TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc352…a152

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.01
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$157.12
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$180.19
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$269.07
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.44
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.11
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$231.68
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$42.31
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.46
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$713.94
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$314.93
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$51.73
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.81
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$153.45
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$87.29
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.53
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.14
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$173.07
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$70.89
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Nightblood Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$37.42
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.74
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$19.63
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$51.86
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.86
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.88
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$424.21
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.47
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,584.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$649.94
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$73.47
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.34
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$118.34
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.79
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$73.91
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.7%+$626.95
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$115.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$57.51
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.3%+$160.35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$207.81
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$191.59
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$630.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$36.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.78
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$186.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$181.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$153.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$87.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$42.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$190.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$55.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$319.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$414.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$170.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.23
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$72.07
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$234.55
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$487.85
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$176.55
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$198.58
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$31.33
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$119.92
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$37.44
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$297.35
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$37.63
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.9%+$88.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$484.71
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.68
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$114.9
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$103.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$661
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$489.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+62%+$294.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$173.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.