TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Global Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8516…93a0backed Paper Rex70c24,805$17,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Global Esports30c22,070$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,529.7413651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Global Esports30c7,367$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.8526838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…a32bbacked Paper Rex71c7,062$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.063378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Global Esports23c5,218$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.3954851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Paper Rex72c4,916$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.485162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Global Esports29c4,255$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.869844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked Paper Rex76c2,903$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-8.7wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-50%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex70c2,806$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.7135157.3%201 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Global Esports27c2,119$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.4933546.6%156 W · 179 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Global Esports28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9728548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b1…a7babacked Paper Rex69c1,880$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Paper Rex72c1,500$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42420840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Global Esports25c1,495$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8216041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Global Esports27c1,186$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6817353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Global Esports29c1,095$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5823151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Paper Rex77c1,011$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.213548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Global Esports28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28033348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29013759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0122…f1aabacked Paper Rex77c985.77$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Global Esports13c982.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7339142.5%166 W · 225 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Global Esports29c907.06$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9942035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Global Esports26c892.17$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Paper Rex73c881.9$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.162138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Global Esports25c840.29$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0713642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Global Esports13c820.2$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Global Esports19c804.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.227930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Global Esports29c778.43$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Global Esports22c737.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3510551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Paper Rex71c693.36$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1111458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Paper Rex72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.183026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Paper Rex76c679.3$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Global Esports30c678.14$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4315942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Paper Rex72c673.1$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.433046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Paper Rex67c656.14$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked Paper Rex76c592.6$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed Paper Rex70c576.91$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.074663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Global Esports25c570.62$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0870543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Paper Rex71c553.6$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.541384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+53.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Paper Rex72c552.52$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Paper Rex76c543.01$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.311464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Paper Rex74c521.99$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7219540.5%79 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Paper Rex71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked Global Esports15c499.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.962835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Global Esports36c489.94$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.274641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Global Esports27c480.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.225349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Global Esports26c477.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2361035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex80c469.45$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8634954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…d782backed Paper Rex75c460$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Paper Rex77c456.85$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10728541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex68c435.82$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.961,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports13c429.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1260423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Global Esports12c425.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7651344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Global Esports24c416$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.843759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Global Esports25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Paper Rex74c369.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2715833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex70c363.34$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10925555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Global Esports19c358.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1570251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec5…5caebacked Paper Rex72c355.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2d…5b8abacked Global Esports27c354.32$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Global Esports29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7442840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Paper Rex72c326$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2854542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Paper Rex69c299.18$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9219140.3%77 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Global Esports29c289.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.971030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex70c281.22$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.291,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9809…026dbacked Paper Rex70c281.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.664669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Paper Rex78c278.59$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf481…7911backed Paper Rex71c276.5$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.183167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Paper Rex75c271.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex66c261.77$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.71,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Global Esports26c254.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8242540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Global Esports28c234.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.687436.5%27 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Global Esports30c228.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.463135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Paper Rex78c214.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d46…7f85backed Paper Rex70c210.06$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.753073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Global Esports6c209.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Paper Rex72c204.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Global Esports29c196.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.036841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a2…fbd2backed Paper Rex70c196.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.924355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Global Esports12c181.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.534739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Global Esports35c178.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4621454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex68c172.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.241,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Paper Rex73c170.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.494055%22 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Paper Rex72c169.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4118653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Paper Rex74c165.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.048638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Global Esports29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.873327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Global Esports28c164.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.663652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e6f…3231backed Paper Rex72c151.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.32860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Global Esports21c149.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6625141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Paper Rex69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb0…ed25backed Global Esports18c141.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.837745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdc…d689backed Paper Rex70c140.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.063647.2%17 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a20…2881backed Global Esports29c136.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.491637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Global Esports29c132.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.298234.1%28 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Paper Rex69c127$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.372751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Global Esports29c123.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7433753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed Global Esports12c118.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Global Esports29c117.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.156640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed Paper Rex70c113.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.37263.9%46 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Global Esports10c112.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7513225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.