Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18eaad0c624d3a080e0fc0f4ea249d4f283cba67e4abd2cd7b96d42ad406794c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Global Esports | 50c | 3,397$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.45 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Global Esports | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Paper Rex | 50c | 1,422$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.22 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Global Esports | 59c | 1,412$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.47 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Paper Rex | 50c | 1,237$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Paper Rex | 43c | 898.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.97 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Paper Rex | 43c | 787.37$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paper Rex | 43c | 692.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.55 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Paper Rex | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 479.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Paper Rex | 49c | 457.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…91ccbacked Paper Rex | 45c | 376.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 312.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Global Esports | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Global Esports | 59c | 242.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex | 43c | 241.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Global Esports | 52c | 218$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…c736backed Paper Rex | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Paper Rex | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Paper Rex | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Global Esports | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Paper Rex | 48c | 119.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Global Esports | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Global Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Global Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Global Esports | 53c | 86.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Global Esports | 57c | 71.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Global Esports | 57c | 60.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Global Esports | 53c | 59.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Paper Rex | 39c | 49.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Global Esports | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Paper Rex | 45c | 34.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Global Esports | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Global Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Global Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.