Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228a8194a27575fb2123eeeff580ddb938f5bc578cf25954de2f55ee88c5f810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Global Esports | 6c | 2,745$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Global Esports | 36c | 1,845$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.28 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Paper Rex | 64c | 1,629$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Paper Rex | 68c | 1,399$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.29 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Global Esports | 6c | 984.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Global Esports | 31c | 971.39$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports | 7c | 947.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Paper Rex | 69c | 695$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Global Esports | 7c | 612.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Global Esports | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Global Esports | 31c | 556.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Global Esports | 28c | 397.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Global Esports | 36c | 299.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Paper Rex | 69c | 293.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Global Esports | 30c | 287.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Global Esports | 31c | 287.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Global Esports | 31c | 278.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex | 61c | 272.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 10c | 238.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Global Esports | 30c | 215.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Global Esports | 33c | 202.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…3998backed Paper Rex | 65c | 189.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…fdd6backed Global Esports | 29c | 166.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Global Esports | 26c | 155.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…2245backed Global Esports | 16c | 148.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…1857backed Paper Rex | 64c | 136.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Global Esports | 30c | 133.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports | 36c | 131.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f827backed Global Esports | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Global Esports | 39c | 123.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Global Esports | 11c | 114.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Global Esports | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Global Esports | 31c | 105.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdc…d689backed Paper Rex | 61c | 103.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Global Esports | 19c | 102.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Paper Rex | 67c | 66.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Paper Rex | 64c | 57.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 65c | 57.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Global Esports | 37c | 49.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Paper Rex | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…57ddbacked Global Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…2d7cbacked Global Esports | 46c | 39.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c191backed Global Esports | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Paper Rex | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…b5b1backed Global Esports | 44c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Global Esports | 35c | 29.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Paper Rex | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…fd00backed Paper Rex | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Paper Rex | 76c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.