TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05df…e268

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
284
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT23241.4%96 W · 136 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 232 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$390
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.04
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$164.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.62
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$920
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.5
Showing 25 of 232 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2576%19 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62.61
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,577Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$2,053.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$148.87
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group Bbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$64.5
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Playoffsbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$202.54
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$398.88
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$306.59
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,038.83
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$118.33
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$209.02
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$490.21
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.64
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sinners (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$117.85
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.18
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$170.32
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$114.36
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$559.41
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,198.99
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.27
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.15
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs NOVO Esports (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)backed DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.38
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$576.47
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$620.46
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$235.16
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.31
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.46
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.53
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$616.51
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$346.3
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.1
Valorant: Murash vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed REIGNITE FOXX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$81.58
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.06
Valorant: RED Canids vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inbacked INTZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$59
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.