TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,582 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under49c37,140$18,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,988.0160949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c22,182$10,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,992.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under50c14,717$7,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,345.814348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c11,382$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c10,706$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.1121262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb40d…c72dbacked Over52c10,500$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c9,708$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.9884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c8,425$4,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c8,174$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.2218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c5,588$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.32,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under51c5,099$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.578946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c4,806$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.1961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Over50c4,223$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.369144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over50c3,825$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.625639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5008444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,179$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.0415556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c2,046$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.2114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Over49c2,023$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.253647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3981…f906backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Under50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,996$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8627947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over49c1,983$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.436342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under50c1,787$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2613343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c1,407$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c1,358$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.823748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Under50c1,249$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.54337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under50c984.1$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c606.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under52c571.88$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Over50c557.8$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over50c557.03$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.515356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c501.46$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7730853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25091848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over49c495.63$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8616546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c488.44$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.411,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c471.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5318048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over50c401.22$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6110443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c382.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c350.72$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb30e…7c7abacked Over49c334.34$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over51c312.24$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2423754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over49c303.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.692330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Over50c299.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.692045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c277.55$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over50c267.64$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.824355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c208.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9415850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…bd5ebacked Over51c207.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7079…aaf7backed Over51c200.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…993fbacked Under50c198.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c196.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0817742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549c…9881backed Under50c195.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Under51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…5e0cbacked Under50c190.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…bc22backed Under50c190.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…bec7backed Under50c188.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…1b48backed Over51c186.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a5…dd82backed Under50c184.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16aa…ecfdbacked Over51c181.87$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…6e86backed Over51c181.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…882bbacked Under50c179.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3872…4384backed Under50c178.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…0184backed Over51c177.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd2…f20abacked Over51c176.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa789…b783backed Over51c175.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c166.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba09…5142backed Over51c164.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc329…067ebacked Under50c164.34$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over51c160.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.95457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c155.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.315559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under51c145.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.433953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8e88backed Over51c142.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Under50c138$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3861…7313backed Over50c134.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over51c123.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3613343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e7d…b41bbacked Under50c122.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over49c121.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7458652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over51c116.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.483745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Over49c111.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.524146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Over51c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5621455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c94.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.614,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Under50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over50c78.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.657162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over49c69.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c67.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.663,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over50c59.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6219348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over50c59.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.749554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.