Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930f969e03f023222a317f7ca88f8ce2247a36c4d1690633da3bd72d883a6dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 18,230$9,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.04 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,940$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 3,736$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 48c | 2,065$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 1,766$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 53c | 1,745$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.34 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.28 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,409$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.15 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.84 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 999.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.97 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Over | 48c | 679.43$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…96bebacked Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Over | 52c | 167.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 97.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 80.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 47c | 67.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 62.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Under | 53c | 56.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 42.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 47c | 41.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Over | 48c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5this page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-11.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-13.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-3.5)UCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-4.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-8.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-9.5)UCF Knights won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5Over won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 147.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 149.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 150.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.