TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7f0…96be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Drake Powell: Points O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$135.88
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$112.5
Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+155%+$775
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$182.56
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.86
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.86
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$139.6
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.37
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$151.41
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.78
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.55
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$151.67
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66%+$151.8
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.09
Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$118.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.