TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ann Liof Ann Li, Kimberly Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,312 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kimberly Birrell54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8002321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Kimberly Birrell17c18,516$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.0822242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Ann Li60c16,761$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.7124557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Ann Li46c12,230$5,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,604.1810443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Kimberly Birrell57c10,483$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,995.2964855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Kimberly Birrell54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ann Li71c9,393$6,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.576,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Ann Li46c6,411$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.944346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Ann Li45c4,778$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.478536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Ann Li46c4,279$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.4556757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kimberly Birrell29c3,539$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.612,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ann Li79c3,097$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kimberly Birrell4c2,744$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.521,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Ann Li41c2,710$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.1424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ann Li46c2,381$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.881,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Ann Li42c1,600$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.311045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Kimberly Birrell28c1,568$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ann Li44c1,543$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.971,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kimberly Birrell48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kimberly Birrell34c1,346$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.142,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Ann Li41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7678446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kimberly Birrell55c1,240$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9423945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Kimberly Birrell19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kimberly Birrell52c1,001$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.881,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Kimberly Birrell21c993.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20852133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ann Li76c955.41$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ann Li41c938.13$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.54,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kimberly Birrell54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Ann Li45c891$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.053154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kimberly Birrell38c812.67$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.633,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Kimberly Birrell52c749.77$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.881,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kimberly Birrell53c739$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0648552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kimberly Birrell32c687$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.461,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kimberly Birrell31c610$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ann Li46c573.85$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9253058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kimberly Birrell49c569$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.811,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Kimberly Birrell55c545.61$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kimberly Birrell50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Ann Li46c447.15$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4622747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ann Li46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21670752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ann Li42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Kimberly Birrell59c336.05$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.225250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Ann Li48c329$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.161,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ann Li65c323.06$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.029,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ann Li43c318.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8298055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kimberly Birrell49c309$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4193048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Ann Li43c307.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Kimberly Birrell55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Ann Li45c285.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.261850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Kimberly Birrell58c280.34$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8129461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kimberly Birrell19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Ann Li64c250$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.61,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kimberly Birrell43c232.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.123,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ann Li44c226.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.167,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Kimberly Birrell46c215.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015416.2%25 W · 129 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kimberly Birrell57c205.93$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4255660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Ann Li49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0847946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kimberly Birrell32c196.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.146,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Kimberly Birrell52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kimberly Birrell53c179$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.871,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Kimberly Birrell8c174.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2532131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Kimberly Birrell61c164$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Kimberly Birrell35c161.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.864,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ann Li44c149.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.911,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kimberly Birrell23c145$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.851,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Kimberly Birrell56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kimberly Birrell60c142.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.452,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kimberly Birrell47c137.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.443,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Kimberly Birrell56c129.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…9541backed Ann Li48c125.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.832665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ann Li55c125.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c76abacked Kimberly Birrell54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Ann Li45c107$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ann Li40c106.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.081,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Ann Li43c105.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kimberly Birrell58c104.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.851,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e0…ca0bbacked Ann Li48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Ann Li44c102.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2843353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Kimberly Birrell16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Ann Li44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Ann Li45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5546649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Kimberly Birrell55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Ann Li46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5426247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Ann Li47c96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8860055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Kimberly Birrell53c96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.886344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5940…139abacked Kimberly Birrell54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Kimberly Birrell57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kimberly Birrell32c87.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.963,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Kimberly Birrell56c86.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Kimberly Birrell61c82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ann Li44c80.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.732,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked Ann Li45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.783171%22 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Kimberly Birrell55c74.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4611243.8%49 W · 63 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Kimberly Birrell27c72.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5732450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Kimberly Birrell59c70.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Ann Li40c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1786647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Ann Li45c67.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.176956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Ann Li47c66.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.288637.2%32 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Ann Li47c64.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.423750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0627…d18dbacked Kimberly Birrell35c63.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.