TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3212…9541

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$53.79
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$73.47
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.76
Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Graybacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$43.4
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.44
Wuning: Justin Boulais vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Stefan Dostanic vs Andres Andradebacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Akasha Urhobo vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Emerson Jones vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$65.83
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borgesbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Alexis Galarneau vs Tomas Barriosbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
New Delhi: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Rio Noguchibacked Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.9%+$42.97
Brisbane 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamotobacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.5%+$41.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$83.27
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+72.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.