MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aefff3be8e032c572237f867b7581dd8a6256ea60f17eb7dc2ff7121a284acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Tampa Bay Rays, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 52,917$25,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,274.68 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 41,568$21,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,188.3 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 23,033$14,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.79 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 14,640$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 12,204$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.53 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 12,123$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,161.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 10,962$8,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.96 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,054$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.66 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 7,380$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 6,423$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,835$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.39 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,398$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.98 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,322$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.5 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 4,258$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.63 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,764$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.59 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 3,638$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.24 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,577$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 3,369$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,929$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,635$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.83 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.6 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,347$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.09 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,215$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.13 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 2,182$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 2,149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.3 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,865$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 1,834$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.02 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,804$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.53 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 1,725$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,718$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.48 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 1,656$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.16 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,591$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 1,563$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.25 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 1,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 1,350$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,185$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.07 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,168$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.68 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,102$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,038$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.14 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 981.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 910.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 900$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 883.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 869.8$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.9 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 863$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 810$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 785.78$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 707.59$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 684.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 606.9$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 577$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.42 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 571.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 518.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…6df7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 513.4$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 497$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 465$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 456.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 416.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…a9b1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 391.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 381$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 375.13$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 366.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 361$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 360.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 351$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 332.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 326.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 323$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 321.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 320.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 254.28$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 253.84$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 253.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 251.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 250.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 239.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 222.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.