TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4722…2abf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$177.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.42
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+607.1%+$601
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
Kings vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Supernova vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$78.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick11cpaid+207.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Ognjen Milic vs Blake Ellisbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Pedro Vives Marcosbacked Pedro Vives Marcos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilarbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+556.5%+$149.19
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+841.2%+$715
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatovbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
Naples: Andrea Guerrieri vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+1,150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.