MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6ef68a37121cd7171bfda73bb85c2a0b1355982628931158e10ebb1a746c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 26,982$12,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,141.96 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 55c | 22,017$12,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,907.6 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 20,380$9,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,193.58 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 6,843$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.11 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,653$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 53c | 3,457$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.83 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 26c | 2,605$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.79 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 71c | 1,500$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.93 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 72c | 1,410$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.79 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Under | 9c | 1,400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,182$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.81 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Under | 10c | 913.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Under | 20c | 890.51$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 45c | 862$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 52c | 800$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 46c | 791.76$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 746.86$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 735.23$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 640.85$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.18 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 477$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 53c | 460$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 451.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 45c | 430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 47c | 316.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 307.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Under | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 290$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 47c | 281.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Under | 56c | 281$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 26c | 280$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 47c | 279.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 276.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 36c | 265.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 44c | 250.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked Over | 54c | 198.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…9ab6backed Under | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 46c | 164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 162.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…7227backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 160.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 37c | 142.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…e698backed Over | 54c | 116.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 46c | 114.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Over | 20c | 110.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…2c57backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 101.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Under | 47c | 95.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 61c | 93.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 55c | 81.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…bcfdbacked Over | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 69.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb863…b1aabacked Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 62.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 59.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Over | 55c | 54.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 46c | 43.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 61c | 42.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.