TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c26,982$12,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,141.967839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over55c22,017$12,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,907.68856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c20,380$9,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,193.581,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c6,843$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,084.1146547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,653$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.4512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over53c3,457$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.835747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9961947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over26c2,605$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.791,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over71c1,500$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9317156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under72c1,410$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7915550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under9c1,400$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+143.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,182$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.815,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over54c1,087$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0111450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c1,050$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under10c913.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.67933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Under20c890.51$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under45c862$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.927351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over52c800$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under46c791.76$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2124651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c746.86$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c735.23$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.261,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c640.85$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.181,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under9c500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c477$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4212350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over53c460$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.25345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c451.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.619,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under45c430$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under47c316.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.322548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c307.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.861,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Under18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Under12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c281.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2628646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Under56c281$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under26c280$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.82419.8%4 W · 37 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c279.68$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2625349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over34c276.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.388032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c265.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.671,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over44c250.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.475354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18a…b3dbbacked Over54c198.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.152347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8214953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c179$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.556654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1de…9ab6backed Under47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under46c164$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4435650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under47c162.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5227146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…7227backed Under47c162$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2912265.6%80 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over54c160.87$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under37c142.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.937038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.110961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c126$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4819848.5%96 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45bb…e698backed Over54c116.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under46c114.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1215847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Over20c110.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.841526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb7…2c57backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c101.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228630.2%26 W · 60 L+11.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.337630.3%23 W · 53 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under47c95.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under61c93.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2644745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over55c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over55c81.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.813438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2deb…bcfdbacked Over55c78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.726,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c69.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2749649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb863…b1aabacked Over54c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2877952.1%406 W · 373 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c62.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.371,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c59.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3327254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over55c54.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257748.1%37 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4550949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over55c43.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Under46c43.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over61c42.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.