TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Texas Rangers, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Texas Rangers41c75,691$30,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,675.9841149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Philadelphia Phillies60c25,746$15,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,298.5117156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Texas Rangers40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Philadelphia Phillies60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,92015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Texas Rangers1c11,616$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5115550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies65c11,572$7,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.3621656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Rangers40c10,323$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.4546547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies60c9,648$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.491,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.332657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c5,759$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.0132348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Philadelphia Phillies59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0501376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Texas Rangers1c4,245$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.633929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c3,957$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.481,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Rangers10c3,504$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies59c3,389$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.491,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Texas Rangers40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Philadelphia Phillies59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers17c2,087$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.661,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies58c2,045$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.841,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers5c2,020$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Rangers22c2,013$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.339219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Texas Rangers40c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8102965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6726245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers40c1,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.546,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Texas Rangers40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c1,260$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.68646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c1,115$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.341,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Texas Rangers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Philadelphia Phillies60c938$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.21,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Texas Rangers29c935.13$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Texas Rangers3c897.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c889$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies59c780.79$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.125,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Texas Rangers20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c734.49$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1467250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers42c715.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c652.58$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.834164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies60c554.33$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.732,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Texas Rangers11c527.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.058032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Philadelphia Phillies60c430$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.736764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Philadelphia Phillies59c419.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.195345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers19c403.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.378,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers17c402.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.236,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers9c391.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.021,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Philadelphia Phillies59c349.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.24156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Texas Rangers40c344$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.66654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Texas Rangers40c330$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13222849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Philadelphia Phillies59c322$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0220548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7704…9640backed Philadelphia Phillies60c316$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.42263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Philadelphia Phillies59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1237243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers40c299.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Texas Rangers41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Philadelphia Phillies58c252.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.154562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Philadelphia Phillies60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Philadelphia Phillies60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Philadelphia Phillies60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Texas Rangers41c248.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10213351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Texas Rangers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Texas Rangers11c241.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6754715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Texas Rangers10c237.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.525354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef7…d842backed Philadelphia Phillies60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Texas Rangers17c228$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Philadelphia Phillies79c224$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.545763.2%36 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Texas Rangers16c214$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1610353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Philadelphia Phillies60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Texas Rangers40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91a…4ea7backed Texas Rangers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Texas Rangers21c197.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6844556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Philadelphia Phillies76c189.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0614039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Philadelphia Phillies60c177$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Texas Rangers42c171.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.28847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Texas Rangers41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7056946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c167.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.226958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Philadelphia Phillies60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6713361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Philadelphia Phillies80c137.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4e…b371backed Texas Rangers17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Philadelphia Phillies80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015855.1%87 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Texas Rangers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Texas Rangers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Texas Rangers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Texas Rangers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Rangers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Rangers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Texas Rangers18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7523152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Philadelphia Phillies60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Philadelphia Phillies61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Texas Rangers41c77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5747848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Philadelphia Phillies60c76.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.493754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c73.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4647850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Texas Rangers41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.