TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63ae…97c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Tommy Paul vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Parks vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Miami Open, Qualification: Bianca Andreescu vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Miami Open, Qualification: Ayla Aksu vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open, Qualification: Erika Andreeva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Priscilla Honbacked Priscilla Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Reese Brantmeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.99
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.54
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.98
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.08
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.83
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$72.5
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.64
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$207.97
Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Colgate Raiders: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+203.5%+$495.53
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.42
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$161.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.