TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5919…95acbacked Over58c27,465$15,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,926.4311454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.9831149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Over32c4,815$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.062552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under47c4,260$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.795747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c3,377$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.0415550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under45c3,333$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.0367250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over55c2,698$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.927254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,605$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.065,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c2,032$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,894$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.941,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c1,750$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.2767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over42c1,749$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.469044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c1,663$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under40c1,452$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.146547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,011$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over52c936.19$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9121842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c875.9$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.771,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Over54c689.8$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under44c580.96$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3484049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under45c533.6$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.486048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over53c452.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c446$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.844,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22818239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over55c378.05$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.931,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c366$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.981,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c347.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3132348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over57c299.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1217146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Over55c217.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.162948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3139948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under45c177$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.354052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b03ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Over54c157.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.642236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1772247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over54c143.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.296749.3%33 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over54c143.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.292846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Over54c143.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.291838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Over54c143.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.294139%16 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over54c143.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.295040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c131.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.021,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Over55c130.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.495248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c127.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3823248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8927351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under44c102.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.111643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c101.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.482,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Over56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under65c93.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over59c93.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.83540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.924152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under73c69.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Over57c66.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over53c65.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.238247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under79c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9142241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.815351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under44c55.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.95650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141b…73bbbacked Over19c53.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc18a…b3dbbacked Under48c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.752347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.274156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under41c47.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1510539%41 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c47.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2867453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under49c47.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26248.4%30 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.310649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Over54c43.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over56c42.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249044.4%40 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555450%27 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e41…a724backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7678146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e7…0169backed Over53c39.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.08825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over60c39.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under47c35.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6139553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed Over54c35.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over54c31.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.073868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed Under44c30.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under74c30.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.877256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under41c25.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0126151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over53c24.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Under47c21.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under69c18.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.839756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Under54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.522245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Under72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.042556%14 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.