MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316ad0635413f433e92f0aecdcd6e9e7b2c1042cafe2e53478d891bf113f927f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 7,644$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 6,214$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 5,660$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.98 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 4,796$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 3,243$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.09 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Yankees | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.8 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 2,155$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,914$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.94 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,800$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 1,692$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.97 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,369$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 954.2$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.29 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked New York Yankees | 33c | 772.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees | 43c | 689.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 597.89$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 363.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 343.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 303.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 283.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees | 42c | 265.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 256.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 42c | 246.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 245.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 234.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 214.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 213.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 212$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 207.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Yankees | 41c | 202.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 199.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 171.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed New York Yankees | 42c | 149.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed New York Yankees | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked New York Yankees | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed New York Yankees | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed New York Yankees | 43c | 115.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 113.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed New York Yankees | 38c | 109.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed New York Yankees | 41c | 109.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 106.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 105.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed New York Yankees | 70c | 87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked New York Yankees | 44c | 76.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 69.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed New York Yankees | 56c | 69.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed New York Yankees | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 58.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed New York Yankees | 40c | 55.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 55.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Yankees | 60c | 54.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 41.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed New York Yankees | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 24.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 23.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 21.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.