TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,595 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c11,741$5,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under54c7,969$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.372445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c3,716$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.475,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c3,450$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.424,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c3,023$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.811,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c2,709$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.5239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under50c2,518$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.0116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,991$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c1,807$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.693,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c1,548$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.0718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c1,405$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3619958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c1,013$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.573748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under50c1,013$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.575639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.632250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under59c842.8$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.555143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c793$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.563551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c751.92$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.361,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c717.25$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c553.15$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.222,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c545.2$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2523754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over45c419.79$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.628754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over59c357.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3819147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c313.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.177753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under44c304.17$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3422250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c302.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.223,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under70c283.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.153372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over43c280.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over56c257.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b4…f95fbacked Under33c209.7$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.253070%21 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under52c199.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Over19c199.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.992516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over48c196.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.171,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under49c181.39$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9852843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under52c166.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.87258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Over60c149.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.246235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under45c126.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.397959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c112.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9411456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under51c102.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.036056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Under39c99.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.961457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5235…a0bdbacked Over49c99.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc96f…d46bbacked Under53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.952548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Under38c89.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over57c82.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4784854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Over47c78.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Under23c73.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.474443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over51c66.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.876538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over66c61.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9333445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over43c61.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5513445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c60.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under41c55.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.554067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c51.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e8…aa17backed Over49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.785561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under41c48.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.596272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Under51c43.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.372157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over49c43.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0913447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c38.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.664647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over55c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked Under52c35.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Over49c31.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.424562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under52c30.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.877558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over48c29.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9837246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658b…1bf6backed Under52c28.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Under51c28.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.832969%20 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under52c25.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under50c24.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3922656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a73…5650backed Over50c20.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under52c20.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.665265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Under52c20.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Under51c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under51c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.715644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.