TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc96f…d46b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$164.02
Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+67%+$107.18
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$166.53
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Toledo vs. Louisville: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.8%+$78.75
O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5)backed Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$51.56
Spread: Oregon (-25.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Florida State (-8.5)backed Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$247.19
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.82
Spread: Tennessee (-9.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Colorado State vs. Wyomingbacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$50.76
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$94.46
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.35
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
O/U 60.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$96.91
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.4
Utah vs. BYUbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.83
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.28
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.78
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$154.76
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.3
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.24
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.43
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.64
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-21.5)backed Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$118.22
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.34
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.62
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$183
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$397.76
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$217.27
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$74.93
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$115.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$196.59
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$258.93
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$95.97
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$210.53
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$260
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$90.53
Spread: Chargers (-8.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$237.98
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Spread: Falcons (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.93
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.59
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$146.77
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$122.58
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$73.55
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$206
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.