Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b226b2c0d0abc62627d0ac06700e43a414be45330e73c7a8b42a4a89cbb832d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Florida Gators, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,042 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,899.93 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Florida Gators | 53c | 19,826$10,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,507.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 6,850$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Florida Gators | 53c | 1,547$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 1,118$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…fe91backed Florida Gators | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…4540backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 407.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.78 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 43c | 350.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Florida Gators | 57c | 347.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Florida Gators | 53c | 297.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 283.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 275.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…a6edbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 234.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Florida Gators | 54c | 209.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Florida Gators | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Florida Gators | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Florida Gators | 54c | 166.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Florida Gators | 54c | 150.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 140.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Florida Gators | 52c | 131.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 115.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Florida Gators | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…99c0backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 99.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Florida Gators | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Florida Gators | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 89.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Florida Gators | 18c | 80.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Florida Gators | 48c | 74.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 70.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Florida Gators | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Florida Gators | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 54.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Florida Gators | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Florida Gators | 53c | 50.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +228.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Florida Gators | 64c | 38.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida Gators | 49c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Florida Gators | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Florida Gators | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…ecfabacked Florida Gators | 54c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Florida Gators | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Florida Gators | 53c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Florida Gators | 53c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsIowa Hawkeyes won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 139.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 142.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5Under won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-4.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.