TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,681 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under49c56,822$27,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,756.6544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c26,764$13,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,916.1641752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c17,059$8,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,421.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c12,492$6,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,121.0712054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c8,388$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.885,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over52c6,755$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.44540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c6,052$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.722,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c4,956$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.5748855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c4,956$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.1318744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c4,226$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.231,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under49c3,995$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.618946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over51c3,357$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.478444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over51c2,915$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.573060%18 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Over52c2,770$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over51c2,567$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.317643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c2,475$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.3221636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,180$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.2227947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c1,532$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.388148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under49c1,426$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.9418548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over52c1,235$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.85639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over50c1,148$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.074143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,113$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5176142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55014447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4909839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over50c864.76$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under49c815.12$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.711,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7124847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Over52c575.76$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.385639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over51c486.09$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1824857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under51c396.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c300.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.692330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6927045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf029…3998backed Over58c221.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.741330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…0920backed Under48c213.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4874…e7febacked Over53c206.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4614…9cd6backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c199.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1312147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under38c197.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0913141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c188.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.417258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af2…de45backed Under48c188.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c183.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.414,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c178.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2158652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf7…e19cbacked Over53c172.65$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.48535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c155.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.393,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1588…357cbacked Over53c151.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbc…8bf1backed Under48c148.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over52c143.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c142.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.14348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked Over61c127.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.344353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over50c114.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8833058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under45c104.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.093938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under49c101.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.557160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over54c99.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.694346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5621455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6283350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under49c97.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over54c90.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.522756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over51c87.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…7655backed Over53c85.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over51c83.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.567657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under48c82.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.653943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over51c77.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.17162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Under49c77.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.833053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over51c77.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.542334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c74.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c69.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1540849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over50c66.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0116650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db3…e1b3backed Under48c64.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Over52c59.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.763847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over51c58.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Over64c55.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Over53c55.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over54c53.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6219454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b56…3bffbacked Under48c51.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3d…4462backed Over53c50.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Under50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under43c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0752843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…bf8fbacked Under48c48.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Under48c48.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53e…22e0backed Over53c45.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda8e…feb9backed Under48c45.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c28…6d1abacked Under48c44.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fc…fd1fbacked Under48c44.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.