TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa Hawkeyesof Florida Gators, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$792,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,158 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3f…3446backed Florida Gators50c256,381$128,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,546.145367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa Hawkeyes60c171,458$102,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,338.525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Florida Gators44c102,110$44,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,800.0217643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b9…51f6backed Florida Gators48c56,211$26,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,981.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c52,648$26,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,797.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c39,927$19,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,027.118148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Florida Gators33c34,971$11,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,540.588145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c33,188$16,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5392,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c30,434$14,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,796.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Florida Gators50c27,204$13,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,601.8417742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c26,020$13,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,851.4446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c24,782$12,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,895.171,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c14,825$7,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,264.283053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c12,845$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c11,220$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,579.9918744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c10,000$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0447…3cd9backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c9,591$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Florida Gators49c9,375$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.158946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c8,029$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.039250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes48c7,848$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.73444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c6,903$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.422962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Hawkeyes59c5,138$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.544,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Florida Gators49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes57c4,897$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.591,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Florida Gators52c4,820$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.371225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators20c4,528$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c4,213$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.185947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Florida Gators49c4,205$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.2410543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c4,148$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.149244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c4,064$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.9627755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c4,002$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0011,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Florida Gators49c3,963$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c3,957$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.221450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c3,487$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.222,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Florida Gators30c3,406$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6319958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c3,233$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.1715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Florida Gators49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c2,848$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c2,820$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.2810451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c2,750$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.398350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c2,598$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.061,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c2,478$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Florida Gators52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Florida Gators33c2,205$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes55c2,166$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Florida Gators50c2,020$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Florida Gators51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Florida Gators18c1,997$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8214728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c1,983$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.437251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Florida Gators50c1,983$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2510846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Florida Gators49c1,954$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.453641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Florida Gators49c1,928$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.415942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Florida Gators49c1,892$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.088748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Florida Gators33c1,730$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.743943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c1,729$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.168548.2%41 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c1,705$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c1,635$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Florida Gators49c1,618$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c1,593$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.7322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Florida Gators52c1,560$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Florida Gators49c1,490$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7713343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Iowa Hawkeyes52c1,430$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.262171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Florida Gators33c1,215$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8735147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Florida Gators50c1,195$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.427643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c1,194$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Florida Gators52c1,165$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.81241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c1,161$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.134343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb930…eadebacked Florida Gators52c1,157$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c1,154$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9218048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Florida Gators47c1,150$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Florida Gators50c1,050$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.958444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c1,048$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.266446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c1,046$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Florida Gators48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.88046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Florida Gators50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c1,001$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.499259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Florida Gators50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6440…85e2backed Florida Gators49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cb…6741backed Florida Gators50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Florida Gators50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Florida Gators49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Florida Gators49c995.63$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.94957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Iowa Hawkeyes50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.633740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Florida Gators50c971.8$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Iowa Hawkeyes51c943.67$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Florida Gators50c920.16$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.082646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes49c914$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1450548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…e313backed Florida Gators6c831.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+52.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Florida Gators53c748.14$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7668…8a91backed Florida Gators49c713.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.671030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce8…8663backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c705$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Florida Gators50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Florida Gators49c693.88$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Florida Gators43c685.8$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.591650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c671.57$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.964143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3316349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Florida Gators35c650.11$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.344146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Iowa Hawkeyes51c621.96$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.