TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc002…6f57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$12.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$29.85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France vs. England: Team to Take First Cornerbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.57
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
England vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$70.86
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$30.63
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.64
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.56
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$9.26
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$48.4
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$14.53
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$636.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.99
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,779.53
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,076.59
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$423.31
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,941.9
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.44
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,685.11
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,400.42
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$494.2
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,618.11
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,376.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.17
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.19
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.62
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.94
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$573.11
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$56.44
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$427
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$13.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$275.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.