TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof Spain, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa69…02c1backed Argentina0c7,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Argentina42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Spain58c4,977$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.3169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Argentina44c1,995$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Spain56c1,771$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.75644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Spain58c1,726$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.471936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina7c1,698$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Argentina43c1,673$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Spain57c777$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.336738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Spain54c554.04$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.481,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina43c482.92$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spain56c446$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.245832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Spain56c424.23$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6618248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain57c267$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.461,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6517…aa7cbacked Argentina43c228.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.236230.6%19 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Argentina44c227.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.920851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Spain60c207.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8731156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Argentina49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fd…5b6ebacked Spain57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411231.3%35 W · 77 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked Argentina46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806338.1%24 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda49…b396backed Spain58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4111634.5%40 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa23…03ccbacked Argentina43c159.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Argentina44c153$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92e8…2093backed Argentina45c126.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Spain57c125.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.026442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd461…c9cbbacked Argentina44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Argentina42c106.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.052,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x003b…1ebebacked Spain56c105.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Argentina48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Argentina43c103.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6218548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Argentina40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Argentina43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Argentina43c86.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.921,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…cae0backed Argentina43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Argentina40c74.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.631861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Spain65c67.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.696070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Spain53c67.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.992,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Argentina45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Spain55c60.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.051,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2e…2ebfbacked Spain57c57.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.896349.2%31 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Argentina44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0834551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Argentina43c53.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe597…4e73backed Spain58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.727759.7%46 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x992b…3371backed Argentina45c50.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812536%9 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c1…f3e2backed Argentina44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Spain65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1522752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…9faebacked Spain56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6414466%95 W · 49 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa722…afe6backed Spain57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab23…2053backed Spain57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Spain56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4840352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Argentina45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.954450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a7…bb13backed Argentina44c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2722942.8%98 W · 131 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Spain56c41.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.282254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Spain57c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6332943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Spain56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Spain58c39.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7633729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49f…1120backed Spain65c36.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e52…6577backed Spain57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093650%18 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69a8…613dbacked Argentina43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3b…d2dfbacked Spain58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Argentina43c29.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8236634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Argentina46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Spain60c25.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2928251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaba…a787backed Argentina43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7515857.6%91 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf9…a44dbacked Spain61c24.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b77…f057backed Argentina45c23.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.532729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Spain56c23.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2387938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0e…a5b5backed Spain57c22.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c7…6b7fbacked Spain57c22.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3835…b8babacked Spain57c22.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89a…aa35backed Spain57c22.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf5…8652backed Spain57c22.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Argentina47c22.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e64…9cb7backed Spain58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Spain57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.612948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.