Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a00211afaf9d0564ef2a0c3863d84fe845ae75adabe9e0a67d5389092c1f497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 64c | 1,444$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.23 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 63c | 1,228$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…8c2bbacked Over | 37c | 843.89$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 36c | 832.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over | 35c | 647.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 67c | 612.39$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 37c | 552.13$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 486.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over | 35c | 480.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 37c | 459.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 35c | 423.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 383.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 66c | 377.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 293.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0193backed Over | 36c | 280.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…b472backed Over | 36c | 274.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…b77ebacked Under | 65c | 242.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 66c | 168$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 35c | 139.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Over | 22c | 104.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…ab79backed Under | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Under | 65c | 89.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 30c | 84.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…72b5backed Over | 49c | 80.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 64c | 76.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 76.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Under | 61c | 72.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…fd10backed Under | 78c | 64.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…c9cbbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 20c | 55.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 64c | 50.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…d270backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…35aebacked Under | 66c | 47.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 45.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b1…5e42backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f07backed Over | 35c | 42.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Under | 74c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 73 | 72.6%53 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 63c | 38.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…557fbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 202 | 53%107 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…4667backed Under | 67c | 26.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Under | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked Under | 68c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…0cf7backed Under | 61c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…0f5abacked Under | 75c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…ca16backed Under | 78c | 16.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 75c | 16.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…e9d0backed Under | 66c | 15.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6106backed Under | 66c | 15.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.