Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4769f0406e424296c334dc6146063b2521edf665f9d301030898a7d3cdd90531

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,791 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37f4…49afbacked Under	67c	4,736$3,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.91	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked Under	68c	3,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	162	60.5%98 W · 64 L	+22.3wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+29%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over	32c	2,021$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.6	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Over	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…8170backed Over	33c	1,212$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over	36c	1,099$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	67c	780$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.66	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…5b63backed Over	35c	736.24$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-10.2wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	66c	665.69$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.85	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	33c	580.33$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.41	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	33c	544.97$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d6…893dbacked Over	33c	517.62$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	64c	472.98$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.94	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over	32c	410.31$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.03	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	65c	383.31$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.16	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…3300backed Under	68c	367.65$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.65	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under	69c	361.9$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.19	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Over	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under	70c	268.92$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.62	170	54.7%93 W · 77 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Under	68c	266.38$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.24	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under	67c	211$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.63	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	63c	201.39$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.51	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	69c	188.74$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.06	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	30c	183$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.77	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Over	33c	181.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	108	13%14 W · 94 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over	33c	166.67$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3040…2c03backed Over	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	65c	148.11$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	66c	146.17$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.25	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	31c	129.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x826f…c0b4backed Over	33c	101.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c18…26fdbacked Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7936…1afebacked Over	35c	97.11$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359c…ba64backed Over	33c	96.88$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ae…8771backed Over	33c	80.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Over	35c	77.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.16	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc421…724cbacked Over	31c	64.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under	62c	64.01$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…0797backed Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39be…275fbacked Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ed…ab3abacked Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88e…8244backed Over	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	66c	58.35$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.69	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26df…f9afbacked Over	33c	56.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07c1…f3e2backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over	31c	49.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe517…fed1backed Over	48c	41.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3144…9502backed Over	33c	39.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under	62c	39.22$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.9	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe96…6c28backed Over	33c	33.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…5bb2backed Over	33c	33.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c70…14a8backed Over	31c	33.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…c335backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under	62c	30.32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	158	59.5%94 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…bafbbacked Under	65c	29.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under	68c	22.82$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	61c	21.17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.19	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed Under	66c	19.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	70	67.1%47 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…e9d0backed Under	68c	15.44$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.94	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+26%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event