TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3eeb…3300

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$89.14
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.57
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$340.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$228.86
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$111
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.99
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$68.62
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+57%+$121.95
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$128.94
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.73
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$24.94
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$291.66
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kawa vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ella McDonald vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$141.03
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Grabher vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Viktoria Hruncakovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Rattibacked Cosme de Ravel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$178.35
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djerebacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynetsbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nottingham 2: Tomas Barrios vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$117.59
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$135.42
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$108.33
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$161.07
Saski Baskonia vs. Unicajabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31%+$77.43
Manresa vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+70%+$139.92
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.