Fifa International · resolved market
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x761b0031305c6d645a12ced6ce2628f737e41e9e472015841c4177c0e8aa1bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 71c | 547.44$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…f9c3backed Yes | 33c | 515.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 32c | 262.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 68c | 249.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 29c | 172.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 133.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e4…3cb5backed Yes | 31c | 125.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…9bd0backed Yes | 34c | 116.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 94.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed No | 71c | 86.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 76.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…3ebebacked Yes | 33c | 74.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 72.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 69.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…a74dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 67c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assiststhis page
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 2+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Frenkie de Jong: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jan Paul van Hecke: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ assistsYes won
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goalsNo won
- Virgil van Dijk: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.