Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0366fbb7a62e7a316a94094c8a9c17c8f2ddc1d8beb9e2158554a86574d498

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,771 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9e6…f893backed Yes	18c	2,138$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.9	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes	18c	1,714$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.01	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5679…a939backed Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	14.6%13 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes	18c	194.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6985…ad13backed Yes	19c	154.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6db…5199backed Yes	20c	127.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes	20c	119.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cee…c08ebacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c4a…1604backed Yes	21c	103.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4131…0b67backed Yes	19c	102.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	157	27.4%43 W · 114 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Yes	18c	96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	21c	94.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Yes	19c	84.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a61…c689backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb29…198ebacked Yes	21c	71.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8d…2762backed Yes	19c	68.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	21c	60.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Yes	20c	51.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…2b0fbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event