Fifa International · resolved market
Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146a11ac91b7a189e96c7dcc7bc02f168ec474dd2865a506f442bd8d653465cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,855$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 15c | 199.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 17c | 178.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yes | 18c | 111.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…7d21backed Yes | 16c | 83.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 21c | 79.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 17c | 59.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goalsthis page
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 2+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Frenkie de Jong: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jan Paul van Hecke: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ assistsYes won
- Virgil van Dijk: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.