Fifa International · resolved market
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ecb5ffa0c17ea80e28df37dc3e121a0003be594c2a11c9070043c831074af59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 43c | 695.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 35c | 499.43$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 442$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 60c | 413.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…5c2dbacked Yes | 35c | 283.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 41c | 251.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 60c | 239.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 59c | 222.45$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 67c | 195.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 184.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 58c | 168.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 68c | 146.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 34c | 142.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…4cb9backed Yes | 37c | 135.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 40c | 124.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 84.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 57c | 82.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…8a5abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 66c | 59.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…b7dabacked Yes | 36c | 55.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 60c | 48.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…23d5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 62c | 36.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 39c | 27.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsthis page
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 2+ goalsNo won
- Frenkie de Jong: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jan Paul van Hecke: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ assistsYes won
- Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goalsNo won
- Virgil van Dijk: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.