TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9720…afa4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Music, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Music at 52 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+557.3%+$5,935
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$792.51
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.22
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,332.07
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.71
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$720
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$369.75
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.02
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.91
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.96
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$252.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.18
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$286.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$121.1
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.4
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$215.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.