TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Breel Embolo: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes24c5,413$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.614860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c3,377$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes8c2,974$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c2,283$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes24c2,066$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x064c…b256backed No75c1,964$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No77c1,963$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4558530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes27c1,724$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0816042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c1,512$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c1,343$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No76c1,002$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes13c964.63$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.331,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No71c928.13$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes21c750$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No75c676.64$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0423240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes13c467.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.241,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes23c460.87$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10625150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817f…01f4backed Yes23c420.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.622025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed No76c404.71$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1312541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c378.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No76c330.56$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No74c288.46$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab65…b5b0backed Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20d…83aebacked Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes22c230.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd160…ebbdbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…f52cbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec7…b3e9backed Yes23c195.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+71.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…a949backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+88.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255619.6%11 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337745.5%35 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014720.4%30 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff77…75dcbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…97c8backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…23dfbacked Yes10c103.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c101.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.091,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No78c97.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010132.7%33 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ba…21a7backed Yes25c86.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…8eb3backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197d…77ddbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes13c78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1412058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf855…d955backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58a7…6456backed Yes25c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4db…c6b9backed Yes22c63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512538.4%48 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c1…57d1backed Yes25c55.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.876442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Yes25c41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2532943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…0c4bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd373…4479backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-72.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107736.4%28 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b29…2b9dbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d7…888ebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013255.3%73 W · 59 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No77c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No76c26.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.378559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd4…897ebacked No78c20.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4312956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1834…2b7ebacked No77c20.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.634852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.622247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.