TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luis Díaz: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No30c2,001$610 inLost-$609.9137350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes67c1,232$825 inWon+$406.423251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No14c792.17$111 inLost-$110.916564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…042abacked Yes70c333.91$234 inWon+$100.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes77c308.73$238 inWon+$71.015352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No14c289.3$42 inLost-$41.742,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes72c168.66$121 inWon+$47.222458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d0…7943backed Yes70c100$70 inWon+$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…4bfabacked Yes80c61.25$49 inWon+$12.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x455b…25eebacked Yes70c50$35 inWon+$152245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No29c48.87$14 inLost-$13.986366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes60c40$24 inWon+$169078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes76c20.71$16 inWon+$4.9721051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.