TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

James Rodríguez: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5236…d9f7backed Yes26c774.57$200 inLost-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+64.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes20c250$50 inLost-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No76c163.5$123 inWon+$402,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes19c156.77$30 inLost-$307936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No80c138.17$111 inWon+$27.6331171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x866e…a949backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$206142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$209231.5%29 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes18c80$14 inLost-$14.420036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked No16c64.57$10 inWon+$54.246235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes20c52.5$11 inLost-$10.516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No74c26$19 inWon+$6.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No79c26$21 inWon+$5.4646464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No80c20$16 inWon+$42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.