Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Suárez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721baf6c12a5732bf507f7a685e966e76e7664d67a7caa2bddaaf2b8aee87553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,740$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 799.59$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 504.13$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 24c | 493.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed No | 75c | 284$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 76c | 282.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Yes | 25c | 234.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 23c | 207.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 122.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 25c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…d17abacked Yes | 23c | 83.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…ed53backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 56.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 48.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…6e36backed Yes | 24c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 42.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…0f81backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d6…2179backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 36.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 76c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ shotsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Davinson Sánchez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Davinson Sánchez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Djibril Sow: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustavo Puerta: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gustavo Puerta: 1+ shotsYes won
- Gustavo Puerta: 2+ shotsYes won
- Gustavo Puerta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 3+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Jhon Arias: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.