TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe673…b3d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$88.29
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$108
Will Iñaki Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$52.9
João Félix: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nuno Mendes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+227.1%+$29.24
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$59.59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$98.6
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$64.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$21.17
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$130.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.6
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+101%+$467.4
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.76
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.99
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$675
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.