TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed No72c76,623$55,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,168.4677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes28c74,844$20,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,933.075119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c76…182dbacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No73c10,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.854652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c8,409$6,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,032.581,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c5,615$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2222451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No73c4,110$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No72c4,010$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.1946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c3,722$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes27c3,190$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.6915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c2,084$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.719823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No73c1,724$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes25c1,564$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.7418843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.5716825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c1,365$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.7697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes28c1,161$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.7129018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No43c1,159$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.551,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…a4f9backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Yes28c1,034$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.775242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No72c1,025$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c1,000$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c1,000$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No76c890.79$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.287259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes29c823.28$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.2828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No72c734.08$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.445962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2913520%27 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.295341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e8…21cfbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.162748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes29c513.79$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.795429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes20c499.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.996126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c6…f290backed Yes31c486.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.874617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…0278backed Yes28c467.21$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.212441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes28c453.57$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.572119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34d…fb9bbacked Yes28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+117.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d4…59a2backed No72c425.5$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes29c416.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.781,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6437…edb1backed Yes29c413.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.79540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c411.15$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.062,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…7ae0backed Yes24c403.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No71c399.98$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9820638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fa…939bbacked Yes28c385.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No71c379.27$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4819252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b40…0860backed Yes30c362.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.851838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+59.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.145932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1410259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1426424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…b4a9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d68…8239backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e4c…25c3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.143938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa837…24a4backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.836826.5%18 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6335…565cbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.837135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No6c339.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed No74c335.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes31c315$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes28c310.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.77735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c298.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.431,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes29c295.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes18c278.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.227731.2%24 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No79c277.31$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3324541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No70c273.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5751429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes30c270$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2619643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes31c256.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.91,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ad…411abacked Yes29c253.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.959748.5%47 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4915448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf718…c541backed Yes31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.942245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes29c241.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3810050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4e…fb99backed Yes28c221.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.433745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.292532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd20…069cbacked Yes28c212.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c90…2f6bbacked Yes28c204.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.212437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb8…3194backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…1a03backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1589915.2%15 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes29c199.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.997143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No69c193.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.762,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes28c188.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.035619.6%11 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes28c178.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6516042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5711323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5712622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5729138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574540%18 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5715432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575637.5%21 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5710240.2%41 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5718942.3%80 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5710149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cf…8860backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes20c177.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6613542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes29c175.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.912642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4111926.1%31 W · 88 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4124344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.