Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9679918905009cdbc3d4cdd181da5366fd0fd2fead6c55a0d515fca5c3f8126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 140,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…ffcbbacked Yes | 16c | 62,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 15c | 43,948$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.23 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 18c | 16,634$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 27c | 15,000$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.5 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 13,749$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 17c | 12,099$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.83 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…54f7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 9,043$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.51 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 2c | 8,107$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Yes | 16c | 5,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Yes | 16c | 5,489$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.27 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 5,370$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 16c | 5,137$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.9 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 4,632$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.85 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 18c | 4,358$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 3,161$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.75 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…a4f9backed Yes | 19c | 2,960$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 21c | 2,541$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8617backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…cfc7backed Yes | 4c | 2,486$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…6883backed Yes | 16c | 2,463$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…d059backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,290$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.43 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 80c | 2,155$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…794fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,913$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 1,891$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.01 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,882$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 16c | 1,798$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 15c | 1,554$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,541$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 20c | 1,493$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,464$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 74c | 1,460$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.57 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Yes | 16c | 1,390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 1,354$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…e6b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…a237backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 19c | 1,211$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 16c | 1,186$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…2f5cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…53a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,128$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,063$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes | 18c | 1,048$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 30c | 1,040$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5743…fdc1backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…b610backed Yes | 30c | 873.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5bc1backed Yes | 16c | 837.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 14c | 829.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…c543backed Yes | 16c | 812.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 26c | 717.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…aba2backed Yes | 27c | 717.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 699.42$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…ec49backed Yes | 20c | 698.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 15c | 690.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes | 18c | 677.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…e676backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 15c | 663.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…4900backed Yes | 16c | 648.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 74c | 625.22$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…2dd5backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…1bd0backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…f2b3backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…411abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Yes | 16c | 610.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 605.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec84…9fedbacked Yes | 16c | 603.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…a9e7backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 16c | 554.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…14c8backed Yes | 16c | 545.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 17c | 531.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 16c | 531.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 16c | 512.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 506.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…7681backed Yes | 16c | 493.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Yes | 16c | 487.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 16c | 471.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82c…70acbacked Yes | 17c | 470.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…d982backed Yes | 17c | 462.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…faeabacked Yes | 22c | 455.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsthis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ shotsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ shotsYes won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 3+ shotsNo won
- Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.