TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes17c140,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,8001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac57…ffcbbacked Yes16c62,500$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes15c43,948$6,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.2315843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes18c16,634$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes27c15,000$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.513725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c13,749$10,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes17c12,099$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.833844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc908…54f7backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No73c9,043$6,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.511,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes2c8,107$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2142336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Yes16c5,500$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cd…7565backed Yes16c5,489$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.277425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c5,370$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes16c5,137$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.97140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c4,632$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes18c4,358$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.791225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes16c3,161$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…a4f9backed Yes19c2,960$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.181330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes21c2,541$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4918843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53e…8617backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a25…cfc7backed Yes4c2,486$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4160%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes16c2,463$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3945429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes16c2,290$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4316341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No80c2,155$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d7e…794fbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes2c1,913$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.513135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c1,891$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.012,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes16c1,882$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes16c1,798$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.756317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes15c1,554$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes16c1,541$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4931520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes20c1,493$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.720245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes17c1,464$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.247229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No74c1,460$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.571,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Yes16c1,390$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.48341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No73c1,354$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.32,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…a237backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f6…d494backed Yes19c1,211$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2291338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes16c1,186$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.993616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked Yes3c1,144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.947215.3%11 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Yes16c1,128$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.543158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes16c1,063$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes18c1,048$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7215456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55c5…1710backed Yes30c1,040$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.612725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5743…fdc1backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes30c873.7$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.454617.4%8 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dd…5bc1backed Yes16c837.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+78.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes14c829.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.337816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef2…c543backed Yes16c812.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid+101.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes26c717.81$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6311027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8628…aba2backed Yes27c717.53$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.931942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No74c699.42$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbf…ec49backed Yes20c698.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes15c690.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.961926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes18c677.27$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.857735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6830…e676backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Yes15c663.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4715424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…4900backed Yes16c648.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.743432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No74c625.22$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5651429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…2dd5backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7f…1bd0backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4338…f2b3backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…411abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a9…2dd7backed Yes16c610.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c605.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.531,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec84…9fedbacked Yes16c603.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ef…a9e7backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes16c554.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.811828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…14c8backed Yes16c545.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…964abacked Yes17c531.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.36339.1%3 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-82.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes16c531.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes16c512.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.073534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes16c506.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7329813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62c…7681backed Yes16c493.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Yes16c487.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817244.8%77 W · 95 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes16c471.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.436018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb82c…70acbacked Yes17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a1…d982backed Yes17c462.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85d…faeabacked Yes22c455.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.