TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35a9…2dd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 49 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT7128.2%20 W · 51 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Segovia: Takuya Kumasaka vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Takuya Kumasaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.75
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.54
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+134%+$326.03
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$133.48
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.66
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$188.4
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.22
Generali Open, Qualification: Sandro Kopp vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.18
Generali Open, Qualification: Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.21
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Luciano Darderibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.9
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.47
Estoril Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+197.7%+$1,218.8
Estoril Open, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.15
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$822.15
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.51
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.45
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$793.89
Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Midonbacked Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.89
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$90.21
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.28
Croatia Open: Juan Carlos Prado vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.77
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$217.44
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.61
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$385.22
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$33.72
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.73
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$693
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$397.51
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.06
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.23
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.69
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.21
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.41
All 15 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.