Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a4ebc0e59aadc6c37a49f7e50c34233925d15868fbdef7a83c4da274e1dfb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,172,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,671,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,172,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked No | 61c | 2,444,723$1,481,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962,885.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,755,555$694,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694,221.99 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 863,527$180,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,091.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3363…cedebacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…fdf4backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed No | 61c | 308,219$188,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,205.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 61c | 299,993$182,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,997.08 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 41c | 268,486$109,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,944.31 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…be62backed Yes | 0c | 211,000$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 59c | 200,000$118,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,999.99 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 59c | 199,998$117,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,999.1 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 171,724$28,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,397.68 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 59c | 162,783$96,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,741.07 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 38c | 160,844$61,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,120.66 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 59c | 160,158$94,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,664.65 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 149,807$59,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,853.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 64c | 142,675$91,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,343.34 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 4c | 141,180$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.93 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 68c | 130,545$88,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,193.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2cc6backed Yes | 0c | 106,140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Yes | 0c | 100,013$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 59c | 99,997$58,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,998.59 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…ec5abacked Yes | 0c | 97,060$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 59c | 89,999$53,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,899.39 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 86,697$44,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,795.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes | 40c | 80,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…da35backed Yes | 40c | 75,758$30,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,303 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked No | 60c | 73,015$43,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,254.56 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 39c | 72,274$28,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,149.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Yes | 69c | 71,859$49,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,538.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Yes | 38c | 70,284$26,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,707.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed No | 60c | 70,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 39c | 65,420$25,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500.81 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 41c | 62,000$25,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,420 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 41c | 59,581$24,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,428.12 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 55,637$22,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,197.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…fd11backed Yes | 41c | 53,659$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…4f5abacked Yes | 0c | 52,890$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 39c | 51,282$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 59c | 50,993$30,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,907.19 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…eac1backed Yes | 0c | 50,614$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…8f51backed Yes | 24c | 50,560$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…4896backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbd…3ab8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…542bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 59c | 49,999$29,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.5 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed No | 62c | 49,960$30,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,984.61 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…6d11backed Yes | 0c | 48,722$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 59c | 46,769$27,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,946.52 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 46,095$22,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,070.2 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 63c | 43,250$27,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,190.37 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 67c | 43,191$28,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,396.42 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 42,467$21,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,350.85 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…419abacked Yes | 66c | 42,250$28,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,020.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 36c | 42,228$15,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,143.41 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 30c | 41,500$12,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.97 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 54c | 41,283$22,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,194.2 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 59c | 40,629$23,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,657.84 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked Yes | 0c | 40,167$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…72a4backed Yes | 0c | 39,140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 59c | 37,207$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 36,718$21,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,024.09 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 59c | 36,000$21,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,759.93 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 34c | 34,516$11,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,776.64 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 25c | 33,878$8,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,451.23 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…b257backed Yes | 0c | 33,700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed No | 59c | 33,332$19,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,666.29 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 63c | 33,251$20,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,816.67 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 61c | 33,000$20,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,869.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 41c | 32,876$13,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,479.09 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 59c | 32,450$19,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,304.48 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 34c | 31,577$10,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,833.41 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 30,238$16,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,723.51 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…9c09backed Yes | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 75c | 29,254$21,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.13 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…f84dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…2e03backed Yes | 33c | 26,926$8,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,982.35 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 38c | 25,657$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.74 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked No | 59c | 25,001$14,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,248.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Yes | 41c | 24,400$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…7028backed Yes | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 38c | 24,014$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,913.78 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 40c | 23,845$9,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,538.05 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 1c | 22,600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…2ef7backed No | 59c | 22,320$13,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,151.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 35c | 22,222$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.7 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 36c | 21,894$7,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,784.83 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 68c | 21,886$14,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.91 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 40c | 21,483$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed No | 36c | 21,447$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,818.14 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 40c | 21,186$8,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,424.17 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…2fa7backed Yes | 41c | 21,174$8,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?this page
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.