TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,111,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,935,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,111,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,977 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c667,475$60,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,540.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…fdf4backed Yes0c400,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e8…be62backed Yes0c211,000$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…5af9backed Yes3c207,857$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,219.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes26c180,000$46,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,799.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No73c173,910$126,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,938.767447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes26c172,220$45,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,443.8742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Yes0c160,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c0…282cbacked Yes0c151,204$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502737%10 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c126,278$91,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,689.3929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…2602backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe834…72a4backed Yes0c98,109$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.762227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3566…ec5abacked Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90190%0 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecb…4f5abacked Yes0c87,485$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe36f…cd91backed No79c70,460$55,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,641.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Yes8c70,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6004235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d00…52f2backed Yes27c68,176$18,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,407.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c68,157$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,520.2779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes4c66,125$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.9865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes27c63,959$17,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,268.939345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c61,608$44,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,695.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes28c52,021$14,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,325.7514232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No72c50,031$36,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,008.985967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f3…4ea9backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b8…4896backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a8…542bbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes16c40,718$6,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,514.862055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ce…e92abacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No74c37,826$27,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,955.8377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Yes27c36,000$9,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Yes27c35,849$9,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,679.24944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Yes6c31,797$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.7316033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…f84dbacked Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes20c30,622$6,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,086.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…c857backed Yes0c30,142$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Yes26c30,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No73c27,529$20,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,432.897949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a2…2b3abacked Yes1c25,999$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…f555backed Yes0c22,740$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes1c21,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes27c20,370$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad6…8848backed Yes0c20,350$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…e879backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec7…a057backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9cfabacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c18,728$13,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,056.6376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes9c16,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.832326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Yes0c16,283$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed No74c16,216$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.225158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6cc…be4ebacked No74c16,200$11,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2121464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f8…32f9backed Yes7c16,139$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.08110%0 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes28c16,071$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05015150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes21c14,942$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.766728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No74c13,500$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,51022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b0…367dbacked Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af7…5a6fbacked Yes27c13,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5102166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No74c13,000$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.9611552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes12c11,331$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.634122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed No74c11,232$8,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x759c…fb97backed Yes1c11,205$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3181…4b47backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed No73c11,000$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9705147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes17c10,393$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.4311133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No72c10,019$7,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.3970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…4d65backed Yes0c10,019$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155265.4%34 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7007859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x921f…b0eabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f3…7ffebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf75…a560backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7303…97eabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…9079backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bba…9ec9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69f…8ecabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9002…50e4backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c0…ea14backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…0e8bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf0…db5fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5468…f311backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb8…cc08backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f4…2aaabacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6004355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.913959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes14c9,786$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b0…3e7ebacked Yes0c9,679$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c8,928$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.7793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes27c8,889$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes20c8,845$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes5c8,178$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c8,133$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes19c8,100$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51024539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5c6cbacked Yes11c8,043$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.575431.5%17 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.