TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7a4…e371

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,960
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,730
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15,435
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,600
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9,762.49
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.11
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.83
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10,290
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,470
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,808.28
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.92
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$10,662.34
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.6
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,770
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,537.42
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,760
Panama leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,084.33
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$10,640
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,520.46
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,836.8
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,812Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,124.75
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10,911.75
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,713Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$6,894.69
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,257.56
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,400
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,709.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,869.67
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.44
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,364.12
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9,030
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$21,095.88
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$10,153.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,394.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,880
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12,790.05
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,160
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$7,984.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$5,661.97
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,465.37
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$8,563.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,350.67
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,596.96
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,021.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964.94
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,611.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,879.93
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Start win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,575.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.