MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdc6121950d67a39bb033f134ba9fcc1a6d74d92f9fa1738ca6f998ca7bf1e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $674,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 331,990$152,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,159.09 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 76,898$41,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,370.67 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 59,696$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 43,604$23,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,530.21 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 37,646$17,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,913.78 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 33,666$11,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,567.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 26,260$14,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,443 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 25,155$13,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,583.51 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 22,879$14,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 22,438$12,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,066.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 16,300$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 16,294$10,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 15,833$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 14,737$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 13,008$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.06 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 11,407$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.78 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 10,351$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 8,680$6,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.22 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 7,817$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 6,360$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 6,037$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 5,535$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 4,435$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 3,827$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 3,811$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.22 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.9 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,900$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.47 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d8c2backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,742$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 2,280$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,218$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.6 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 1,868$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,773$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.71 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,733$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,664$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.4 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,625$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.9 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…4164backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,389$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,352$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 1,232$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,051$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.07 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 970.97$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.03 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 952$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.08 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 899.07$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 858.61$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.93 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 830$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 806.52$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 740.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 639.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 628.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 603.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 602$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 598$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 578$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 499.83$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 489.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 489.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 482.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 475.34$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 459.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 432.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 425.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 401.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 390$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 388.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 386.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 378.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 374.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 369.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 336.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 329.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 314.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 310$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 297.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 291.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 278.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 276.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 274$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 270.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 268.86$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 17.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.