MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b55c97e867bbad8c5f1b1976766f6b9d8e88fe5a92b4cad679d78018c26e928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 246,142$120,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,360.55 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 220,000$112,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,800 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 49c | 204,869$99,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,967.74 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 51c | 106,766$54,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,315.45 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 34,767$17,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,788.3 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 25,519$13,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.49 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 51c | 10,550$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.5 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 9,771$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.47 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 8,794$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 8,486$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.17 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 6,026$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.26 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 4,260$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.41 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 3,857$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.68 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 51c | 3,846$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.63 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 52c | 3,781$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 2,913$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.34 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 2,716$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.05 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 1,749$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,290$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.01 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Over | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 27c | 1,140$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 992$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.64 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 989.66$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 47c | 974.56$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 907.15$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.69 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 53c | 896$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 53c | 767.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 749.39$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 746.75$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 720$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 51c | 661.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 52c | 506.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Over | 51c | 476.71$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 63c | 452.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 52c | 431.54$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 427.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.66 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Under | 47c | 423.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 51c | 405.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 383.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 65c | 361.06$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 317.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 27c | 294$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 283.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 42c | 279.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 269.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 268$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 263.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 252.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 246$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 54c | 233.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 181.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 38c | 152.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 40c | 141$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…319dbacked Over | 52c | 140.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 121.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 117.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 115.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Over | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 99.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 92.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 52c | 86.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 52c | 84.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 70.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 42c | 62.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…65e3backed Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 56.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 17.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.