TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c9a…c65d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$90.3
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.52
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.92
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$50.74
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$152.75
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$153.77
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$207.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.98
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$138.34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.96
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.01
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$73.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.95
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.03
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.82
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.86
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.81
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$51.48
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.51
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$139.09
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.01
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.06
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.81
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.33
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$12.75
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.99
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+67.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+900%+$214.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$585.06
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.55
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$68.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+223.5%+$143.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+316.6%+$43.97
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.89
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.33
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$138.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$81.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+211.1%+$113.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$58.31
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$70.31
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88%+$175.45
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$135.84
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$141.17
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.38
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+98%+$90.22
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.87
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.59
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+144%+$1,612.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61%+$241.05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+302.6%+$62.83
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+106.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.99
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$93.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.34
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.6
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.84
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$144.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.