MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a12ea94dfc91a57c192d0c72edf2d0e15fd9854d895dcb5a90c7b65945be7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 49c | 221,160$107,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,629.52 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 51c | 149,974$76,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,486.93 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 77,777$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.57 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 37,205$17,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,077.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 49c | 19,605$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.01 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 9,356$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 7,201$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 54c | 5,467$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.25 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 4,865$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 54c | 3,521$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.34 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 3,489$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,435$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 3,303$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 2,421$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 2,023$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Under | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 48c | 1,774$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 47c | 1,488$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.36 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 1,363$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.6 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,260$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 1,197$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.52 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 1,196$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.02 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,161$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Over | 46c | 698.83$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 541.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 521$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…da0bbacked Over | 47c | 515.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 52c | 411.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 47c | 393.15$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 51c | 385$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 379.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 361.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 355.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 347.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 35c | 343.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 341.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 50c | 336.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 55c | 297.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Under | 54c | 283.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 266.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 247.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 221.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 212.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 194.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 29c | 185.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 55c | 181.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 174.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 48c | 163.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 159.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 149.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 49c | 137.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 51c | 115.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…31a1backed Under | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Under | 48c | 101.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Under | 48c | 98.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…3544backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 60c | 84.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 82.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 81.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 50c | 79.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 50c | 69.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 50.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Over | 52c | 47.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 42.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 55c | 39.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsAthletics won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.