TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02dc…a212

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+352%+$194.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+207.9%+$64.45
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$16.81
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$77
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$73.05
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.48
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$34.73
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.8%+$23.33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.6
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$48.53
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$5.79
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.95
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$64.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.91
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$18.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$33.1
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.1
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.86
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+148.5%+$29.7
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+318%+$238.51
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.8%+$55.65
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.8%+$26.17
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+96.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.