NFL · resolved market
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc680ea15187006ac19c25aa7a58fee857ee8ef9170bad1deafc7c2533e7401c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b83…d311backed Yes | 54c | 36,403$19,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,748.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 57c | 13,961$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.96 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 55c | 12,941$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 54c | 11,120$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.96 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 55c | 6,646$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.34 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 55c | 4,487$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed Yes | 56c | 4,233$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 40c | 3,330$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 67c | 3,312$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 68c | 3,099$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…4eccbacked Yes | 55c | 2,524$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 43c | 2,230$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 54c | 1,915$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.71 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 53c | 1,913$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…5ce0backed Yes | 54c | 1,734$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 59c | 1,711$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 45c | 1,685$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.41 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 1,438$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 49c | 1,319$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…0877backed Yes | 54c | 1,204$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes | 61c | 1,201$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89dcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Yes | 62c | 1,139$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 54c | 1,127$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.65 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…f929backed Yes | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…bd19backed Yes | 57c | 1,110$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…312fbacked No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…d847backed No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…03c5backed Yes | 54c | 1,009$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 871.23$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.09 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 8c | 830.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 58c | 818.74$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…5baebacked No | 44c | 801.67$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked No | 2c | 801.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…933cbacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…0300backed Yes | 63c | 774.69$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…a766backed Yes | 62c | 731.46$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 75c | 723.77$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 44c | 720.19$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 54c | 700$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…610bbacked No | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 9c | 675.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…9b56backed No | 2c | 618.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…2f80backed No | 2c | 613.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 31c | 612.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…2c47backed No | 2c | 608.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…630fbacked No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Yes | 69c | 578.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…29cfbacked Yes | 38c | 526.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 56c | 525.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 490.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Yes | 55c | 470.43$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 468.04$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 55c | 452.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 36c | 446.56$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 445.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 58c | 417.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Yes | 58c | 415$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 52c | 399.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 53c | 387$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed No | 37c | 386.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…c7c3backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…684bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 55c | 376.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 54c | 372.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…1742backed No | 14c | 365.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…54c8backed Yes | 60c | 335.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 30c | 332.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 51c | 300.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 50c | 300.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…7916backed Yes | 38c | 285.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 61c | 281.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 65c | 261.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…8628backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…8327backed Yes | 57c | 249.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 9c | 248.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…a3b4backed Yes | 58c | 241.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 21c | 239.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…5ea3backed Yes | 57c | 230.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 216.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…5cafbacked Yes | 48c | 208.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 59c | 201.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…5affbacked Yes | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…d9c4backed Yes | 53c | 188.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?this page
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.